LONDON/FRANKFURT, Nov 24 (Reuters) - AT&T said it would take
a $4 billion charge in case its takeover of T-Mobile USA fails,
a tacit recognition of the dwindling chances that the deal will
get through U.S. regulators who say it would destroy jobs and
curb competition.
The U.S. telecommunications group and T-Mobile owner
Deutsche Telekom, said they would continue to pursue anti-trust
approval for the $39 billion takeover from the U.S. Departmentof Justice, but withdrew applications to the industry
regulator, for now at least.
"AT&T Inc and Deutsche Telekom AG are continuing to pursue
the sale of Deutsche Telekom's U.S. wireless assets to AT&T,"
they said in a statement Thursday.
The $4 billion sum includes $3 billion in cash and a book
value of $1 billion for spectrum access.
Both the DOJ and telecoms watchdog the Federal Communications Commission oppose the deal, which would reduce
the number of national mobile carriers to three.
A senior FCC official said Thursday afternoon, "The
record clearly shows that - in no uncertain terms - this merger
would result in a massive loss of U.S. jobs and investment."
Withdrawal of the application is subject to approval by the
FCC, which has the right to determine whether and how the
companies could resubmit an amended application in the future.
In any event, FCC approval would be meaningless if the DOJ
blocked the transaction, and AT&T and Deutsche Telekom said
they would return to the FCC process if they secured approval
from the DOJ.
The collapse of the merger would be a blow to AT&T Chief
Executive Randall Stephenson who offered a massive break-up fee
to Deutsche Telekom as a sign of confidence the deal, announced
in March, would be approved.
Analysts said the merger, badly needed by sub-scale
T-Mobile USA - the smallest of the four U.S. mobile operators -
looked less likely than ever to succeed.
Espirito Santo analysts said AT&T's decision to take the $4
billion charge this quarter showed that the company's own
assessment of the chances of success had fallen.
"It tells us something about timing too - suggesting that
AT&T may decide to walk away at the first opportunity (March
20, 2012) rather than waiting for the ultimate Sept. 20, 2012
deadline," they wrote in a note to clients.
The companies' advisers stand to lose a total of $150
million in fees. T-Mobile's advisers Deutsche Bank, Credit
Suisse, Morgan Stanley and Citigroup, and AT&T's banks
Greenhill & Co, Evercore Partners and JPMorgan Chase were on
course to earn between $18 million and $36 million apiece,
according to earlier estimates from Thomson Reuters/Freeman
Consulting.
JOB SITUATION
Thursday's decision follows a blow earlier this week when
the FCC said it would try to send the deal to an administrative
law judge for review.
The DOJ has also said it would lead to higher wireless
prices for consumers and businesses.
The DOJ has gone to court to block the deal and a trial in
that case is due to begin on Feb. 13. Any administrative
hearing at the FCC, which is charged with evaluating the
public-interest merits of the proposal, would begin after the
anti-trust trial.
AllianceBernstein analysts said in a note that a pretrial
settlement with the DOJ was not a "likely" prospect.
AT&T has 260,000 employees, mostly in the United States.
Deutsche Telekom employs 36,000 at its U.S. unit.
AT&T argued that the T-Mobile merger could actually create
tens of thousands of jobs during integration and network
upgrades, and has pledged to bring back 5,000 jobs that it
moved overseas -- but many observers are skeptical.
The break-up package includes $3 billion in cash as well as
a commitment to give T-Mobile USA spectrum and let its
customers roam on the AT&T network. Some sources have valued
the total break-up package at $6 billion but AT&T has never
confirmed this number.
NO 'PLAN B'
Acquiring T-Mobile would vault No. 2-ranked AT&T into the
leading position in the U.S. wireless market, overtaking
Verizon Wireless, a venture of Verizon Communications Inc and
Vodafone Group Plc.
It would also solve a years-long problem for Deutsche
Telekom, whose U.S. unit has long ceased being a source of
growth and is in urgent need of investment.
At least one analyst suggested that AT&T might instead end
up trying to restructure its agreement with T-Mobile USA in the
hope of appeasing regulators.
It could limit its purchase to T-Mobile USA's spectrum
licenses and its network so that the Deutsche Telekom unit
could keep its customer base and rent space on the AT&T
network, Citi analyst Michael Rollins said in a research note
after the FCC announced its plan Tuesday.
Credit rating agency Moody's said it believed Deutsche
Telekom would rather exit the U.S. market than go it alone.
However, the ratings agency believes that Deutsche Telekom
will fight aggressively alongside AT&T to salvage the sale
process to improve its weak position in the United States.
A failure would throw Deutsche Telekom Chief Executive Rene
Obermann's strategy into disarray and may force him to throw
money at a business he thought he was rid of.
Deutsche Telekom may be forced to sell assets closer to
home and take a knife to its cost base, bankers told Reuters.
The company faces a long delay at best and may be driven
back into the arms of No. 3 U.S. carrier Sprint Nextel -- a
less suitable partner for whom T-Mobile USA would not be worth
nearly as much now as it was to AT&T in March.
While according to sources, Sprint had also been courting
T-Mobile USA before AT&T stole its thunder, there are huge
questions about whether it could afford a T-Mobile USA
purchase.
Sprint, which has been losing customers, recently tapped
debt markets for $4 billion to help refinance maturing debts as
it looks to pay for a $7 billion network upgrade of its own in
the next two years and a $15.5 billion iPhone agreement with
Apple Inc that spans four years.
(Reporting by Georgina Prodhan and Harro Ten Wolde;
additional reporting by Chris Steitz, Maria Sheahan, Sinead
Carew, Phil Wahba and Roberta Rampton
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