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BP REUTERS Lee Celano

Breakingviews: BP's path to Macondo settlement just got harder

9/5/2012 COMMENTS (0)

By Kevin Allison

LONDON, Sept 5 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Macondo is back. After March's $7.8 billion settlement with Gulf Coast fishermen and other private plaintiffs, a deal with the U.S. government over civil and potential criminal liability for the 2010 Gulf of Mexico disaster seemed to be in reach for BP. It probably still is - the two sides are still in talks ahead of a civil trial in January. But sharp rhetoric in new filings by U.S. government lawyers is a reminder that the UK oil major faces a tough path to securing a favourable outcome. The market's reaction - wiping $5 billion off BP's market value - looks appropriate.

U.S. lawyers say they have emails showing that BP is guilty of gross negligence in the 2010 explosion on the Deepwater Horizon rig and subsequent oil spill. It's not a change of position. But the language is unusually sharp, decrying a "corporate culture of recklessness" and executives engaging in behaviour that "would not be tolerated in a middling size company manufacturing dry goods for sale in a suburban mall". The decision to quote BP managers' emails, which complain of a "huge level of paranoia from engineering leadership...driving chaos" in the days before the spill suggests time hasn't softened the Justice Department's approach.

The financial stakes are high. BP's $38 billion of provisions for the disaster includes $3.5 billion to cover Clean Water Act fines. A finding of gross negligence would raise BP's financial liability under the act from a potential $4.5 billion to up to $21 billion.

The new filing was a response to BP's request for final approval of the $7.8 billion plaintiffs' deal. Having not raised a specific objection to that settlement, the government may be keen to signal that it won't be a pushover in its own litigation. The fact that it's an election year only heightens the political stakes.

A settlement still looks like the most likely outcome. But securing a favourable deal just got harder for BP. The hit to the market cap suggests investors are now anticipating a new financial hit that exceeds what BP has already set aside for Clean Water Act fines, but well short of the maximum it could get done for at trial. That looks like a measured reaction to potentially more difficult circumstances.

 

CONTEXT NEWS

- The U.S. Justice Department has filed court papers detailing alleged "gross negligence and willful misconduct" by BP in the 2010 Gulf of Mexico oil spill disaster. The UK oil major has rejected the charges.

- The filing includes excerpts from BP employees' emails in the days running up to the disaster. It comes as both sides are preparing for a January 2013 civil trial that will apportion blame for the spill.

- The United States and BP are in talks to settle civil and potential criminal liability for the incident, which killed 11 workers and spilled almost 5 million barrels of oil off the coast of Louisiana.

- If BP is found to have been grossly negligent, it could raise its potential fines under the U.S. Clean Water Act from a potential $4.5 billion in the event of no gross negligence, to a maximum of $21 billion.

- BP's shares fell just over 4 percent in early London trading, cutting about $5 billion off the oil group's market capitalization.

(The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.)

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