If you're reasonably literate about the financial crisis, you
probably know that the credit rating agencies have slipped
through the carnage like a cat walking away from a knocked-over
vase. With their opinions on publicly offered mortgage-backed
securities protected by the First Amendment, Standard & Poor's
and Moody's have won dismissals of the vast majority of MBS
investor claims against them in state and federal court, despite
powerful evidence from congressional investigations that they
worked with underwriters to confer investment-grade ratings on
securities backed by dreck. With one possible exception, the
only surviving cases against rating agencies involve claims by
investors in private placements, who have successfully argued
that private ratings aren't protected free speech.
The near-spotless litigation record of the rating agencies
means we've seen very little internal evidence, in the form of
emails between rating execs, emails between the agencies and
underwriters and deposition testimony from credit rating agency
insiders. The only hard evidence on the agency's role in the
economy's collapse came from a Senate report.
Until Monday.
In a series of filings in federal court in Manhattan, Abu
Dhabi Commercial Bank and its lawyers at Robbins Geller Rudman &
Dowd disclosed thousands of pages of internal communications and
deposition transcripts to back their claims that S&P and Moody's
are liable for fraud and negligent misrepresentation in
connection with their rating of a structured investment vehicle
underwritten by Morgan Stanley. Based on a declaration by plaintiffs that accompanied the documents, a huge percentage of
the newly disclosed material has never previously been seen by
the public -- and a good many of the documents deal not just
with the Morgan Stanley SIV but more broadly with the rating
process inside S&P and Moody's at a time when the two leading
agencies were swamped with mortgage-backed securities to rate.
Robbins Geller also provided a helpful CliffsNotes version
of the evidence in the form of an unredacted response to the
defendants' motion for summary judgment. (A redacted version was
filed in February, with page upon page blacked out.) This is a
hot filing. Abu Dhabi quotes deposition testimony from "S&P's
most senior quantitative analyst in Europe," for instance, that
says "the ratings of (the SIVs) were inappropriate because the
ratings of the underlying assets were not appropriate. So it
leads to the conclusion that they should not have been rated."
In other snippets quoted in the filing, rating agency analysts
complained about "difficulties in explaining HOW we got to these
numbers since there is no science behind it" and about "(making)
up haircuts that were palatable to SIV issuers."
A lead S&P analyst on the deal, according to the plaintiffs,
said in an email to his boss that the default rates the agency
was using for asset-backed securities were guesswork. "From
looking at the numbers it is obvious that we have just stuck our
preverbal (sic) finger in the air," the analyst wrote.
Morgan Stanley, according to the plaintiffs' filing, bears
at least as much blame as the rating agencies: The bank
allegedly wrote the Moody's report on the SIV and read the S&P
report before it was released to investors. The summary judgment
opposition points to evidence that Morgan Stanley pressured the
rating agencies to apply methodology that didn't suit the
securities and to ignore the paucity of historical data in order
to grant the SIV a rating it didn't deserve. By sending a
supposedly "threatening" email to an S&P higher-up when an
analyst proposed granting the SIV a BBB rating, Morgan Stanley
boosted the rating to an A, the plaintiffs assert. In support,
they quote an email from Morgan Stanley exec Greg Drennan, who
had sent the allegedly menacing email: The bank's efforts,
Drennan wrote, "did get us the rating we wanted in the end."
Morgan Stanley is represented in the case by Davis Polk &
Wardwell, which referred me to a representative for the bank.
She sent an email statement: "We believe the allegations in this
case are without merit. We have defended ourselves vigorously
throughout this litigation and will continue to do so." Moody's
counsel James Coster of Satterlee Stephens Burke & Burke
referred me to a Moody's representative who said in an email:
"The plaintiffs' brief quotes selected emails out of context to
support baseless allegations that are clearly refuted by the
full record. Our rating opinions in this case were, as always,
fully independent and based on robust and objective analytical
criteria. We are confident that the claims against Moody's are
without basis and that we will ultimately prevail on the
merits."
S&P lead counsel Floyd Abrams of Cahill Gordon & Reindel
referred me to a spokesman, who sent a statement: "The selective
excerpts from emails cited in the plaintiffs' opposition to our
summary judgment motion were chosen from thousands of pages of
documents and are being used out of context to support a
baseless case. We will continue to vigorously defend ourselves
against it."
(Reporting by Alison Frankel)
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